Political and policy uncertainty, led by US domestic shifts, Europe’s regulatory and defence push, and escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and Asia, has become the dominant force steering global markets, capital flows, and risk sentiment.
Nothing to see here
Geopolitical risk, driven primarily by shifting US trade and security policy, has become the dominant force shaping global markets, alliances, and economic decisions across regions.
The extraordinary rise in long dated bond yields
Global markets were rattled by escalating US tariff threats, political pressure on central banks, and rising geopolitical tensions, offset partly by resilient Chinese markets and strong UK gilt performance, as investors rotated defensively amid elections, sanctions, and strained transatlantic relations.
You must be Caracas
US geopolitical shocks – from Maduro’s capture to heightened tensions over Greenland, Iran, and planned withdrawals from international bodies – elevated risk sentiment globally, even as markets focused on macro drivers and recalibrated asset allocation amid uncertainty.
From quality to concentration: How indices get polluted
Heightened geopolitical tensions, policy shifts and economic fragility globally are likely to keep investors cautious, support safe-haven assets, and create selective opportunities in strategic sectors such as manufacturing, raw materials and exports.
Taxonomy of Profits
The week combined structural liquidity risk, with macro drivers (Fed-cut expectations) that pushed flows toward safe havens and set a volatile template heading into December.
Protection racket
Earnings, fiscal policies, and geopolitical tensions are collectively shaping markets, highlighting the need for investors to navigate both economic signals and rising global risks.
MAG7 Madness?
Global growth faces mounting pressure: US shutdown and UK fiscal tightening rattle confidence, EU braces for geopolitical risks, China and Japan stumble economically, while commodity shifts and diplomatic moves heighten global uncertainty.