The dominant global market driver was the sharp reversal in energy prices following Middle East de-escalation, improving risk sentiment while leaving long-term geopolitical uncertainty unresolved.

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Global markets were driven by geopolitical de-escalation in the Middle East, persistent inflation and rate uncertainty, and accelerating fragmentation in trade and monetary policy across major economies.

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Iran-driven energy shocks eclipsed central banks, becoming the dominant force shaping inflation, growth, and global markets.

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Global markets were primarily driven by geopolitics rather than macroeconomic data, with energy security becoming the key determinant of inflation and growth expectations.

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The defining global macro theme was the inflationary energy shock caused by geopolitical tensions, which delayed expected monetary easing across
many major economies.

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The defining global macro theme was the inflationary energy shock caused by geopolitical tensions, which delayed expected monetary easing across
many major economies.

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Middle East conflict triggers global oil shock, accelerating inflation pressures and weakening growth outlook across all major economies.

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Global markets were dominated by a geopolitical energy shock from the US–Iran conflict, driving inflation risks, growth downgrades, and volatility, temporarily offset by a ceasefire-triggered risk rally, but leaving a fragile and uncertain macro outlook.

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