Not-so-magnificent banks

7 July 2025

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  • Even as markets are buoyed by strong earnings and jobs, looming tariffs and fiscal uncertainty could hurt sentiment and dampen Fed rate‑cut expectations.
  • UK economic growth persists but households face income squeeze; ongoing trade discussions and regulatory shifts could reshape corporate finance.
  • EU navigates thin growth and tariff risks; bond volatility and trade negotiations dominate the financial outlook.
  • Markets broadly recovered aided by dollar weakness, but global divergence and trade fragmentation risks loom large.

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