Equity markets surged to new all-time highs in response to strong quarterly earnings, a major US-Japan trade deal, and growing optimism around US trade negotiations with the EU and other partners. These developments drove record performances across indices like the S&P 500, Nasdaq, and FTSE, helping offset concerns around tariffs and economic uncertainty.

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Markets are riding high on tech and AI momentum – but sustained by fragile undercurrents: inflation pressures, escalating tariff threats and political uncertainty suggest recent gains may face turbulence ahead.

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Despite aggressive tariff threats from the US, global markets remained resilient, bolstered by record high stock indicies, robust AI sector inflows, strong earnings, and postponed tariff deadlines, highlighting investor confidence even as trade policy risks loom.

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Global financial markets were buoyed by strong equity rallies, easing trade tensions, and resilient growth in some regions, but lingering risks from looming US tariffs, persistent inflation, and financial market fragmentation kept investor caution elevated.

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Market sentiment was buoyed by hopes for better trade relations, especially the US/China rare earth deal and extensions to temporary tariff relief, helping lift global equities to record levels. However, this optimism was tempered by growing worries over US long term sovereign debt outflows, highlighting growing investor concerns about fiscal sustainability and pent-up inflation risk.

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Rising geopolitical tensions—particularly the escalating Israel-Iran conflict—have significantly unsettled global markets, driving energy prices sharply higher and prompting a flight to safe assets.

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Global markets are being shaped by US tariffs, synchronised rate cuts (notably the ECB), and resurgent trade diplomacy, creating a push-pull between inflationary supply shocks and growth concerns.

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Markets navigated a fragile equilibrium last week as central banks signalled easing, geopolitical and trade tensions escalated.

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