10 March 2026
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- Energy-driven inflation risk has reduced expectations for near-term Federal Reserve rate cuts.
- The UK economy remains highly exposed to global energy shocks, which threaten inflation progress and consumer spending.
- Europe faces renewed stagflation risks if energy prices remain elevated.
- Global markets were dominated by a geopolitics. Japan’s dependence on imported energy leaves its economy highly sensitive to geopolitical supply disruptions. China’s slower growth target highlights structural economic slowdown.