Mind the Gap

4 August 2026

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  • Markets continue to expect interest rates to remain higher for longer, with economic resilience allowing the Fed to remain patient despite moderating inflation. 
  • The BoE remains cautious, signalling that easing monetary policy will depend on sustained progress in inflation. 
  • The Eurozone economy continues to grow slowly, with improving inflation offering cautious optimism despite structural growth challenges. 
  • In China investors remain focused on whether additional policy stimulus. Japan continues its cautious transition away from ultra-loose monetary policy. Geopolitical developments remain an important driver of commodity markets.

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