Great expectations

2 February 2026

Great expectations – Download Chart of the week

The Market Place – Download Market Data

  • Policy uncertainty and shifting political momentum contrasted with strong equities, as weak consumer confidence, lighter federal intervention, and a surprise Democratic Texas win signalled rising volatility and sentiment-driven risks ahead.
  • The narrative tilted cautiously better on growth and earnings, but remained policy-heavy, with fiscal implementation and defence geopolitics shaping priorities and risk premia.
  • Europe doubled down on sovereignty themes, combining clearer regulatory enforcement with renewed focus on defence and payments infrastructure.
  • Rising geopolitical tensions across Iran, China, and Japan heightened global uncertainty, boosting safe-haven flows into gold while pressuring currencies and bonds as investors priced greater political and policy-driven risk worldwide.

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